AVENGERS: ENDGAME Tracking for Possible Record Setting Domestic Debut, $300m Possible?

"Avengers: Endgame" poster
Credit: Marvel Studios

Avengers: Endgame early tracking numbers are pointing to a massive $175-250 million (or more) domestic opening weekend for the blockbuster film, according to all the major Hollywood trades Thursday morning.

Remember, these are early tracking figures, and not a box office prediction. One year ago the first tracking figures for Avengers: Infinity War pointed to a $175-200m domestic debut and it went on to open to a record-setting $257,698,183 opening weekend.

Given the momentum online ticket sellers like Fandango and Atom Tickets and major theater chains like AMC are reporting for presales, the upper end of the tracking may prove to be Endgame's opening weekend floor.

More recently, early tracking figures for Captain Marvel were first reported at $100-$120m. The film went on to open to $153m.

Industry chatter has already started pointing to an even loftier opening. 

Deadline is the first publication to say '$300m opening weekend' out loud. 

The online trade says despite a 3 hours and 2 minutes runtime the record threshold is still mathematically in play. 

"Math provided to Deadline by B.O. analysts supports this projection range even if Endgame has 4-5 showtimes a day, at a 70% capacity at 12K U.S. auditoriums," they reason. "Again, this is based off the logical assumption that the movie will play in north of 4,000 theaters. Avengers: Infinity War opened at 4,474 theaters, the third widest opener of all-time behind Despicable Me 3 (4,529) and Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (4,475)."

Avengers: Endgame opens April 26 in North America.

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