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Tilting
at Windmills v2 #4
By
Brian Hibbs
[#121
– April 2004 – “Conjunction Dysfunctions”]
I
hate deadlines sometimes. I swear I can barely pop out a monthly
column – I really can’t figure out how people like Peter
David manage to knock one out every single week. No way I can
do that, and keep running my business and raising a child at the
same time.
So
because I’m turning this into Matt Brady about as late as late can
be, we’ll take a quick pause from addressing “big picture” type
topics like “How and When do
you do a trade paperback?” and look
over a spate of recent news that probably aren’t worth columns individually.
●
CrossGen (CGE) seems to be on the rocks lately.
Not only have they seemingly lost most of their
sales
staff,
and cancelled
good
chunks
of their
books,
but I’m not even sure if they have a single “on-staff” writer left
besides Chuck Dixon.
This
is a shame because parts of what CGE was doing seemed to make a
fairly large amount of sense.
CGE
targeted largely untapped genres in comics: fantasy, space opera,
martial arts, pirates, etc. CGE also seemed to understand that repurposing
the same material into multiple revenue streams makes a lot of sense
– comics, TPs, Comics on The Web, “Bridges”
their classroom initiative, and so on. CGE had a creative setting
within which many creators seemed to thrive. They also had the most-impressive
on-time record of any American publisher in recent times.
So
what went wrong?
What’s
interesting to me is that almost everything was done correctly,
at first. They launched slowly (only four titles to start), and
built their line with a reasonable amount
of patience. Really, the only thing to take issue with was the tactical
blunder of “linking without continuity” the titles by means of the
“sigil tattoo” – the yin-yang looking company symbol. Each book
had at least one character wearing one of these, although this dubious
connection generally wasn’t played up to any great degree.
The
problem is this made the CGE books neither fish nor fowl: they weren’t
actually building the soap-operatic connections that “mainstream”
(DC and Marvel in this context) readers craved, but they were also
trying to sell the line as a line, and so the “rest” of comic’s
readership was largely scared off from the onset. I don’t think
they recovered from this initial impression until it was too late.
Once
the line got rolling, I think the problem then became one that the
business side of CGE treated what was being produced as interchangeable
products – they were, after all, being produced in a comics factory
– every book was treated the same in terms of formatting, of getting
a TP, of being in the Compendia, etc.. Even when there wasn’t a real long-term audience for the work.
Trying
to treat each book as equally strong and equally marketable was
a really bad mistake – but that’s the kind of thinking you get when
you launch a line, rather than a title.
What
always drives me batty about line-thinking is that we have plenty
of plenty of evidence that it simply doesn’t work – whether it is
outside players like CGE or Tekno or inside
attempts like the Ultraverse or Tsunami or or
DC Focus or Comics’ Greatest World time after time these things
crash and burn pretty darn rapidly. Everyone seems to think “Well,
this will be the time it works!” when it never once has...
CGE
seems done to me – the latest sign is their pulling out of Free
Comic Book Day. As we’ve discussed before, given a non-returnable
marketplace, perception is reality, at least for the comic book
retailer. While it’s still, of course, completely possible for CGE
to pull out of their tailspin, I believe that their step away from
FCBD creates a strong impression that they’re not in the running
any longer to be a “major” publisher. Certainly Acclaim spent something
like a year as a “Premier” publisher before they went out of business.
The
real tragedy about CGE is that I think this time really is going
to cost a lot of faith in “independent comics”. There’s
a lot of stores that invested reasonably deep in CrossGen books
– even stores that claimed that CrossGen was their #1 publisher.
The loss of momentum is going to really hurt those stores.
Maybe
CGE’ll prove everyone wrong – maybe they’ll
get out of this in the end, and I’d like to hope they do, but I
think the writing is sadly on the wall.
* * *
●
There have been a lot of big moves on the
chessboard lately – some of which I think have been pretty badly
misunderstood.
The
biggest move most recently is that Marvel
is setting
up a new imprint to publish Powers and Kabuki,
taking them from Image.
From
a perception = reality POV this really weakens Image. Powers
was certainly my best-selling Image title (by some 5:1, yikes),
and it’s hard to see how this isn’t a big loss.
However,
Image follows a slightly different rule-set than some other publishers,
largely because their success or failure isn’t predicated on individual
books.
Image,
y’see, makes their money from a flat-fee
assessed per-book. I believe the number is something like $500-per.
This means that from Image’s business point of view one book is
very much like another (putting aside any aesthetic judgments),
and the loss of any given title simply doesn’t impact their bottom
line to any appreciable degree.
Having
said that, there’s still the psychological impact of losing a key
title(s). There was a day, not all that long ago really, where
the “basic order” on an Image book, regardless of the
who and the what, was in the double-digits – these days that
figure has dropped to as little as a single copy for us. The general
salability of the entire line has eroded immensely.
The
thing is, that can change again in a really brief amount of time. Image,
unlike many publishers which are tied directly to their icons or
licenses (Batman is Batman, and has value, largely regardless of
who is doing it), Image revolves almost
solely around the creative strength and visions of the talent working
there. It’s entirely conceptual that, in six months time, Image
could once again be filled with top-flight creators doing top-flight
work. Image will be very very difficult
to “kill”.
More
intriguing, perhaps, will be how or if this affects Marvel. Smart
money says that Icon is not Epic, and this won’t trigger
any mass-publishing of new creator-owned (or, perhaps more importantly,
creator-controlled) work.
It’s
really hard for me to see Icon as anything other than a “gimme”
for Bendis – he’s their most-prolific, possibly most-profitable,
creator, and they’ve got a very vested interest in keeping him happy
and content.
The
question then becomes, “who else do they have such an interest in?”
Mark Millar, probably. The Kuberts and JR jr,
probably. Maybe even JMS and Kevin Smith, though it becomes a little
shakier down that path. There’s really nothing in it for Marvel
to pursue new creator-controlled books, because if the set-up
is even marginally like Image’s (A flat fee, or, perhaps in this
case, a percentage), these deals simply aren’t long-term revenue
generators for the nominal publisher.
For
what they do, Marvel is already chronically under-staffed – I’m
continually amazed Marvel produces as much work as it does, with
that small of a staff – yet, by Marvel’s standards, Image is a rinky-dink
organization. Image has six employees, I think? Marvel must have
10 times that conservatively. To take stretched resources and to
place them in a situation where you can only gain a finite
and fixed revenue stream is, I think, against everything Marvel
has set themselves up as in the last decade.
From
this retailer’s POV, there’s only two bad things about Icon. The first is that,
due to my individual ordering patterns, I’m going to lose 1% of
my discount on Powers and Kabuki. While this works
against me, the hope (perhaps futile because we have a great individual
market penetration on Powers) is that we can make up the
loss of discount in increased volume. It’s hard to say how many
retailers are losing discount in this move – discount tiers are
one of the absolutely secret pieces of data in this industry – but
I have to assume it’s a respectable number. However, some retailers
are likely to gain some discount – perhaps as much as 3%. In the
overall picture, it probably amounts to a wash, but this is definitely
a concern for stores in my position.
Of
equal concern is backlist. Particularly on books like Powers
or Kabuki Comix Experience ultimately makes more money on
the TPs of the work than we do on the
initial serialization. Apparently, all existing backlist will stay
with Image, but Marvel will be handling new collections.
This
is a concern because Marvel still hasn’t figured out how to handle
backlist with any appreciable skill. In fact, it appears to this
observer that they’ve made an unannounced switch to treating many
trades as “frontlist”-only items. Several
recent Marvel trades appear to have been printed either at or very
near to initial orders, judging by how fast they sold out. – Supreme
Power, Thor: Vikings and Captain America: The
Truth being the some recent glaring examples. All went OP within
a week or two of initial release.
(This
means that if you’re “waiting for the trade”, you might be very
very disappointed, by the way)
I
am less than sanguine about Marvel’s ability to properly stock and
support future backlist items from Icon. Hopefully Bendis has a
good contract lawyer, and is able to assert some control here. We’ll
see how things play out next year.
Oh,
and Powers sales figures? They’ll bounce by 50% or more on
#1, but by issue 8 they’ll be back at or below where they were at
Image.
* * *
●
Another recent “chessboard” move which
I think has big implications is Tokyopop’s decision
to go exclusive with Diamond.
To
really understand this one, you need to know a little about how
comics distribution works. Retailers get
a discount based both on the overall amount of comics that they
buy, and the discount that the publishers sells to Diamond for.
Most
publishers that Diamond distributes are in a “buy/sell” relationship
– meaning that Diamond purchases outright the comics or books, then
sells them to retailers. If they guess wrong, Diamond eats
the unsold product. In that sense, they buy non-returnably,
just like the retailers do.
Things
are a little different for the “brokered” publishers – DC, Dark
Horse, Image, and Marvel. Diamond never actually owns any of these
publisher’s books – those publishers are actually selling directly
to the retailer, with Diamond acting as an agent.
Right,
so in theory it’s possible for a retailer to receive up to a 57.5%
discount on the “buy/sell” comics they purchase from Diamond (Heh,
though you would have to be buying more than a quarter-million dollars
a month from Diamond to reach the top level club. I think
all of 3 stores get that high) But, in practice, only one “buy/sell”
publisher has ever offered max discount in recent history (that
would be Dave Sim’s Aardvark-Vanaheim,
by the way) – most publishers cap out far below that.
For
example, for books that are offered with a
“H” code, your discount is the “Lower of 40% or Standard Discount”.
Thus, if you were a “55% account” (like I am), you’d still only
get 40% from Diamond on Drawn & Quarterly or TwoMorrows. Most
publishers are evenly split between “E” (50%) and “”F” (45%)
Now
the thing is, this only applies to orders submitted through Previews,
otherwise Diamond assesses a 3% reorder fee. That means that every
trade paperback I reorder, Diamond gets an extra 3% of the cover
price, if you can believe that.
Interestingly
enough, understanding what a huge drag this is upon growing the
backlist, the brokered publishers actually eat this fee themselves.
That is to say, they pay it (or a reasonable facsimile thereof)
to Diamond rather than making the retailer pay for it.
So,
in other words, while I can buy a DC and Image TP at 55% and Marvel
one for 54% off, when I buy a Drawn & Quarterly TP from Diamond,
I only get 37% off the cover price (base discount of 40% minus the
3% reorder fee)
And
people wonder why independent books don’t sell better?
This
would suck badly if Diamond was the only game in town, but thankfully
they are not. There are at least three other distribution options:
Cold Cut, FMI,
and Last Gasp. Cold Cut, for
example, offers me Drawn & Quarterly at 45%, no reorder fee,
and free shipping. Shipping is going to
move around dependent on your individual details, but it’s generally
worth about another 1-2%
The
Diamond /Tpop press release cooed about how the max discount under
the new exclusive was rising to 50%, but, in effect it’s actually
only 45-46% given that Tpop is the epitome
of a backlist publisher – -3% for the reorder fee, -1-2% for shipping.
Cold Cut offered Tpop at 45%, FMI offered them at 50%, making this deal a wash
for Cold Cut customers, and a bottom-line loss for FMI ones.
While
there are certain things that the brokered-exclusives brought to
comics distribution that I’m not sure we could live without any
longer (most importantly accountability and assurance of availability...
but maybe that’s a column for another time), buy/sell exclusives
just don’t make any sense to me. If anything, they really work against
what are meant to be the strengths of capitalism, the ability to
let the market create its own efficiencies.
Again,
distributor discounts are built upon volume, so the more insidious
effect of this kind of deal is that it steals volume from the smaller
distributors. There are certainly retailers now that will find it
harder to get the max discount at Cold Cut or FMI because they’re
losing the volume of TokyoPop from those
distributors. And TokyoPop has accounted
for a lot of recent volume for a lot of stores.
This
deal really hurts Cold Cut and FMI, and, worse, hurts the stores
who would prefer to order from one of those distributors, while
gaining very little (if, indeed, anything at all) for buying through
Diamond instead.
Yuck.
Ultimately,
the market needs more choices from where and how to but what
from whom. Not less.
*******
Brian Hibbs has owned and operated Comix Experience in San Francisco since
1989. Feel free to e-mail him with any comments. You
can also purchase a collection of the first one hundred Tilting at Windmills (originally serialized in Comics
Retailer magazine) from IDW
Publishing. An index of Tilting at Windmills on Newsarama
can be found right here
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