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TILTING @ WINDMILLS 2.0 #42: BURN OUT THE DAY, BURN OUT THE NIGHT
by Brian Hibbs

Newsarama Note: We apologize for not having this column to you on its regular day, last Friday - the fault is all Newsarama's, as Brian had it in on time. Brian didn't twist our arm - to hard - to point that out.

One of the things that the pundits on the Comics Blogosphere have been predicting for a while is “Event Burnout” – where the sheer volume and number of “big event” storylines in “mainstream” super-hero funny books finally gets to the audience, and they begin to lose patience and interest with them.

And yet, by and large, that hasn’t happened.

I think the concept of Event Burnout is a pretty logical one – over in the DC universe we’re nearly on our fourth year of non-stop back-to-back events (Starting with Identity Crisis, then the build up to Infinite Crisis, IC itself, 52, and now Countdown), while Marvel is at least on its third year (House of M, Decimation, Civil War, World War Hulk, plus Annihilation in the middle there) – and it sure looks like there’s at least another year’s worth out on the horizon.

If there’s one thing the comics industry knows, it is how to run a good thing into the ground – we’ve boomed and busted with black and white comics, with foil covers and variants – but I think it is a surprise to nearly everyone that this “event storytelling” is still continuing pretty strong.

Except for one.

Which’d be DC’s Countdown.

Now, this is semi-anecdotal – by the June sales charts, Countdown in its second month is still (just barely) a Top 25 book – but I know that I, at least, have been taking advantage of the returnability offer on the first 12 issues. Basically, the deal was “order what you did of 52, and you can send back unsold copies at a later date”.

That deal worked really well for 52 – I brought in more copies than my fiscally conservative instincts would have suggested, and that paid off, not just for those first three months, but for the entire year that followed. We returned under 15% of our orders, orders that were largely based off of Infinite Crisis’ huge sales. 52 was, for the entire year, very nearly the best-selling DC comic for us – only a few issues of Justice League of America beat it – a remarkably consistent and strong sales pattern for the year.

Countdown? Well, we’re only at the 10th week, as of this writing, but no, not nearly as strong and profitable. At this point in time, I expect to be returning more than a third of my initial orders on the first three months to DC. Owie.

Obviously, I have no idea if I’m at all typical (I’m probably not), but if I am, then Countdown wouldn’t even be a Top Fifty book in these early days, and history shows this type of series does nothing but decline for the rest of its run. It is, I think, conceivable that Countdown is going to drop under 50k during its year. 52 stayed more or less over 100k its entire run.

Here’s the most astonishing part of this to me: over the last three weeks, I’ve had no less than ten customers spontaneously and with no connection to one another, walk up to me and ask me if I thought Countdown was going to be cancelled before its run concluded.

That’s not what I would call a sign of consumer confidence, exactly.

I’ll tell you what I told them: no, not a chance. This isn’t just “some mini series”, this is “the spine of the DC universe for the year” – given the production cycle (we’ve been told the writers are past the halfway point), and the loss of “face” that abandoning such a project in mid-stream would entail, I think we can confidently declare that Countdown will see its run through the year. Even if it were to drop to 25k sold. There are just too many moving pieces in play to even consider dropping Countdown, regardless of audience reaction.

Which, of course, is part of the problem with this kind of storytelling – once you’re doing it, you’re pretty much committed to it, and, since each piece depends on the piece before, “hitting the brakes” is about as hard to do as an old jalopy carrying its weight in bricks, going downhill, in the rain, on a road covered in axel grease.

Now, this isn’t a review column (I have one of those too), so I’m only going to briefly touch upon what I think are the content problems of Countdown – very quickly, books like 52 and Civil War are about, at their core, characters who change and “grow” based on the character’s reaction to the plot, while Countdown is about the plot, with the characters appearing to be secondary – but I definitely think that Countdown has marketing and perception problems that should be considered in the light of how the Direct Market functions.

To back up a few steps, you need to think about the solicitation process, and how that has evolved for most comic book stores. Because of the nature of the solicitation process, we’re ordering comics several months before they ship, and so creating a buzz or a perception about a book is really key. Most (but not all) stores run a “subscription” service, where they’re gathering orders from their customers in advance of a book’s arrival, and using that intelligence to project what “general” rack sales of a book will be. In some stores, “subscription” orders are most of the copies they bring in (for us, at Comix Experience, those pre-order subscription numbers typically come in between a third and half of our rack sales) sometimes as much as 90%! So this means that it is absolutely essential to create a proper pre-publication “buzz” on a title in order to get that subscriber interest up, and to give retailers a strong base to launch their orders from.

At Comix Experience our pre-orders for Countdown dropped from 52 by approximately 56%. I knew they’d drop – not everyone wanted to make a second year’s commitment to a weekly series – but not by that much! And I mostly attribute this to DC’s “playing it close to the vest”. If you’ll recall, DC was officially “no commenting” on the very existence of Countdown up until the very day that Previews shipped with its solicitation. None of the “in advance of solicitation” material – photocopies of Previews, electronic solicitations, etc. – made any indication whatsoever that Countdown existed, let alone what it was about. And when the solicits did finally appear, they were surprisingly content-free, not giving any real reason to be excited for the title, or to understand what it is.

In fact, even today, you can’t find an electronic solicitation for Countdown #52-48. There’s nothing on Diamond’s site; Newsarama and Comic Book Resources never directly ran it that I could find in 10 minutes of searching.

I brought that concern to Dan Didio at WonderCon this year, and he basically angrily blew me off (seriously, there were raised voices) with “we’re trying to keep suspense” or whatever, but it is clear to me that, in my store at least – one, might I add that has historically always been a “DC store” – avoiding the normal solicitation process for Countdown cut the book off at the knees before it even had a chance to stand.

Here’s the problem for me: if Countdown is the “spine” of the DC universe, then the rest of the DC universe is going to rise or fall with Countdown itself. I certainly think that the sales charts show that DC is taking a pretty severe whupping the last few months, and I think that a good portion of that is coming from the “top down” mandate of a project like Countdown, and “One Year Later” before that. Say whatever you will about the execution of either of those two concepts, the problem with tying your entire line to such concepts is that if the idea doesn’t click with the audience, you’ve put your entire line in danger. When it does hit (like with Civil War), then, great, your entire line will ramp up in support of it – but if not… well, I suspect there’s some pretty clear reasons that Marvel is beating DC by a 20% margin these days.

But there’s something else that Marvel got right that DC absolutely dropped the ball on, and that’s branding. This is worth pointing out because the historical meme has always been “Ah, if we had DC’s marketing department, and Marvel’s editorial, then you’d have one perfect publisher” – for Marvel to be so wildly ahead of DC in this is kinda crazy-making for me.

Look at Civil War. With the exception of just the smallest handful of books it was really really easy to tell what comics were a “part” of Civil War and which weren’t – you could not mistake that cover design! Post-Civil War, there’s the “Initiative” branding which is also crystal clear (if perhaps overused); World War Hulk is clearly designated, “Endangered Species” and so on – Marvel is branding their covers properly.

DC, however, is blowing it. Not one single of the “official” Countdown crossovers (where the catalog solicitation says “a Countdown crossover!” or words to that effect) has been cover-billed as such. When they do manage to get the cover billing out, like Teen Titans #49’s Amazons Attack crossover, they put it on the bottom third of the cover, the one portion of the cover’s real estate that is the least likely to be seen or noticed. Same thing for the first two parts of “The Search For Ray Palmer” story, which we’ve been told is one of the major plot points for DC 2007, in All-New Atom – no mention whatsoever of part one; bottom-third cover placement for part two.

And all of this just makes me think “wait, do you want us to sell your comics?”

If you have a multi-title crossover going on, you have to indicate that on the cover of the book, so the audience can find the various parts. Look at the covers of the JLA/JSA crossover – the JSA parts were just stock Alex Ross character study with no indication whatsoever of being part of the crossover; what’s the sense of that?

And, perhaps more importantly, if you’re going solicit something as a crossover, going so far as to put the crossovers initials in the solicited title for that month – ala “Blue Beetle #16 (CD)”, then you need to put that crossover banner on the cover, above the logo. Blue Beetle #16 was a crossover issue, apparently, because Eclipso was in it. But Eclipso has not yet appeared in Countdown! Don’t make the mistake of thinking that just because something has been released to the internet that the average or typical Wednesday Regular has read it or heard about it.

At the end of it, these decisions are having a huge impact on DC’s sales – they may have more theoretical interest in their storylines right now, but without proper and clear branding and marketing, how are the customers to find and identify it?

After several years of non-stop “eventing”, I think that the lesson that I’ve learned is that when plot stems from character the audience will respond. 52’s success wasn’t from “a year without Superman, Batman and Wonder Woman”, or even the big parallel earths reveal at the end – it was from “Will Renee find herself?” and “Will Booster find respect?” and “Will Ralph regain his happiness?” and “Will John Henry and Natasha become a family again?”. Those are compelling things to read in entertainment, because they are things that we as human beings can relate to. Sure, there has to be alien conspiracies, and multi-versal threats, and World Wars, and all manner of outlandish plot and action, to keep the audience for the Fantastic paying attention – but what actually gets them coming back is the characters, acting like their characters, who create the plot because of that.

That’s why something like Civil War, or World War Hulk resonate so well with the audience; even something slightly less character-originated like the “Sinestro War” story running now in Green Lantern, the plot is at least flowing from a specific and in-depth history of the universe those characters live within. And so the audience responds.

As long as “events” continue to include relatable human feelings and motivations underpinning the Big Action, the audience doesn’t seem to be in any particular danger of “burning out” yet.

That’s what I think at least.

**************************

Brian Hibbs has owned and operated Comix Experience in San Francisco since 1989. Feel free to e-mail him with any comments. You can purchase a collection of the first one hundred Tilting at Windmills (originally serialized in Comics Retailer magazine) from IDW Publishing. An index of Tilting at Windmills on Newsarama can be found right here.

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